Market Forecast: US Inflation Insights and SPY at Critical Points

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<p>This article was written by FollowMy. My main area of interest is algorithmic trading and trading strategies. However, I am also very interested in macroeconomic topics, especially since I lived and studied in Shanghai for half a year. That is why I plan to write about those topics with a focus on China. I am one semester away from finishing my bachelor's degree in Economics and Finance and plan to pursue a master's degree in quantitative finance afterward. I have also visited finance-related events such as the Abu Dhabi Finance Week and hold a CISI level 3 certificate in Wealth and Investment Management.</p>

<p>During the past 2 years, when I managed money through a copy trading system, I realized that I gained much clearer insights into my investment ideas when discussing them with other investors; hence my motivation to contribute to Hotnchill. My track record has thus far been rather conservative. At the end of 2020, when I first started trading, my portfolio yielded 17.5 percent. Shortly before the market crash in 2022, I went market neutral and managed to come close to flat for the year, losing only 0.16 percent.</p>

<p>What followed was my worst year, gaining only 0.8 percent while the market was soaring. This experience made me realize that I needed a system for when to enter and exit the market and start my journey as a quantitative trader. Since then, my portfolio yielded 12.84 percent last year at a beta of less than 0.6. This year, I have finally increased my risk in order to enable a higher yield on my investments.</p>

<p>Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option, or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Hotnchill). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Hotnchill's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Hotnchill as a whole. Hotnchill is not a licensed securities dealer, broker, US investment adviser, or investment bank. Our analysts are third-party authors who include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.</p>