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CFTC Withdraws Appeal in Kalshi Election Wagering Matter

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The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has dropped its appeal in its case against Kalshi, a New York-based prediction market, according to a Monday court filing, finally clearing the way for the platform to offer political event contracts. Under the conditions of the motion for voluntary dismissal, which is still subject to court approval, both parties will pay their own legal costs, and Kalshi waives any right to sue the CFTC for the litigation.

“Today is historic. We have always believed that doing things the right way, no matter how hard, no matter how painful, pays off. This result is proof of that,” Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said in a statement. “Kalshi’s approach has officially and definitively secured the future of prediction markets in America.”

Kalshi’s conflict with the CFTC began in 2023 when the regulator denied Kalshi’s plan to let users bet on which party would control the chambers of Congress. At that time, the CFTC, under former Chair Rostin Behnam, claimed that such contracts involved unlawful gaming and were “contrary to the public interest.”

In November, Kalshi sued the CFTC in Washington, D.C., asserting that the CFTC had overstepped its authority in attempting to block the contracts and sought judicial relief to overturn the decision. The court ruled in favor of Kalshi in September 2024, allowing the platform to list political contracts.

Following the court’s decision, the CFTC moved quickly to contest the ruling. It applied for a 14-day stay of the order—essentially a temporary hold on Kalshi’s capability to list the contracts while preparing for an appeal—but was denied. Subsequently, it filed an appeal, reiterating many of the earlier arguments.

However, shortly after the oral arguments in early January, U.S. President Donald Trump returned to office. His eldest son, Don Jr., joined Kalshi as a strategic advisor on January 13. Rob Schwartz, the CFTC’s general counsel at the time the appeal was filed, departed from the agency in April after withdrawing from the case in March.

Under the leadership of acting Chair Caroline Pham, the agency has shifted its approach to crypto, streamlining several pieces of crypto-related guidance and reducing its once-extensive variety of enforcement task forces to just two, aiming to simplify its regulation and enforcement in the crypto industry.